வரலாற்று சாதனை படைத்த பிரம்மாண்ட வசூல் | Avengers Endgame Movie Box Office Collection
வரலாற்று சாதனை படைத்த பிரம்மாண்ட வசூல் | Avengers Endgame Movie Box Office Collection
#Avengersendgame
#1stDaycollectionofavengersendgame #Avengers4
Yesterday was technically the
"opening day" for Avengers: Endgame, even though time zone magic
meant that yesterday was technically China’s second day for the MCU
blockbuster. The film earned an $80 million “pure Wednesday” gross, which is
second only to Monster Hunt 2’s “pure opening day” gross of $86 million last
year. That said, the record-crushing $28 million in midnight previews pushed
Avengers 4 to $107.2 million over its whole opening day. That is the
second-biggest single day gross for any movie outside of Star Wars: The Force
Awakens’ $119 million North American opening day back in December of 2015.
Including a $47.6 million Thursday in
China, the MCU flick has earned $216.6 million thus far as it prepares for a
record-crushing bow in North America (over/under $280 million?), China
(over/under $300 million in five days?) and around the world. Avengers:
Infinity War opened overseas last year with $382 million. That doesn’t count
China (which opened a couple of weeks later) and obviously doesn’t include
North America. Offhand, a $400 million “not China” overseas launch plus a $300
million Chinese bow will put the film at (presuming at least $260 million in North
America) at $960 million.
A true-blue overperformance in North
America may be all the movie needs to top $1 billion in five days of global
release. For the record, that’s not a bar for success, as merely equaling
Infinity War’s global launch (counting North America and China) gets the MCU
flick to around $832 million by Sunday, which would still be a record (by a
lot) and a stupefying sum for any movie. There aren’t very many movies left
this year (Lion King, Frozen II, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Toy Story 4)
that can outright expect to earn $832 million overall let alone in the first
five days.
I’m most interested in seeing if
Avengers: Endgame actually tops the full Friday opening day record set by The
Force Awakens. Avengers: Infinity War and Star Wars: The Last Jedi had to settle
for “just” over/under $106 million, and a 12% jump isn’t guaranteed. While the
last three “at Christmas” Star Wars movies had 2x weekend multipliers (and then
legged out when the kids got out of school), most MCU movies, even the big
summer kick-off titles, usually score over/under 2.5x multipliers over opening
weekend. As such, Endgame can open below Force Awakens’ Friday and still make
mincemeat of Infinity War’s opening weekend record.
For example, a $110 million Friday and
a 2.43x multiplier (like Infinity War) would still be a $268 million debut
weekend or $10 million more than Infinity War’s record bow. A $115 million
opening day with a similar multiplier would push it to $279 million. That said,
a $110 million opening day and a multiplier in line with Age of Ultron (2.27x)
or Ant-Man and the Wasp means a “mere” over/under $258 million weekend bow. I’m
not expecting this scenario, but that’s the math just in case. A $110 million
Friday and a 2.5x multiplier still gets it to $275 million.
If Avengers: Endgame gets to $120
million (or above) by the end of Friday, then it’ll be time to start discussing
a $300 million opening weekend. Otherwise, it probably won’t happen (since I’m
not expecting a leggier opening weekend than Infinity War, or at least not
significantly so). Truth be told, the biggest obstacle to a record opening day
(and thus a $300 million weekend) won’t be the three-hour running time. That’s
a minor detail, but theaters will be playing it around the clock, so unless
you’re jonesing for a specific format (IMAX, Dolby, 3-D, etc.), you can see it
whenever you want.
The biggest obstacle and this is very
much “relatively speaking,” is whether or not there are that many people who
are super-duper excited for Avengers: Endgame who weren’t super-duper excited
for Avengers: Infinity War. After all, Marvel and Disney sold that one as “the
end of all things” too, and they got away with it because it was still a pretty
satisfying movie and because audiences were more-than-willing to show up again this
year. But this isn’t The Force Awakens arriving 32 years after Return of the
Jedi. This is one super-duper Avengers finale coming just a year after the last
one.
We’ll know a little more tomorrow when
we see if it can approach the $45 million Thursday preview gross of The Last
Jedi or the $57 million Thursday preview total of The Force Awakens (Infinity
War nabbed $39 million in previews last year). And, yes, it’s entirely possible
to top the opening weekend record without besting the single day milestone (The
Avengers and Jurassic World both topped $205 million with under-$85 million
opening days). And it’s possible to beat the opening day record without besting
the weekend milestone, as The Twilight Saga: New Moon ($72 million Friday/$142
million weekend) did ten years ago.
So, yes, records will be broken. But I
am quite curious as to which records will fall, and which ones might not.
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